POLL BOMBSHELL: Ron Paul Is Close To A Win In Iowa

[smokingman]

Rest at the source.Poll was done by Public Policy Polling

POLL BOMBSHELL: Ron Paul Is Close To A Win In Iowa

Ron Paul, the once-forgotten presidential candidate, is picking up steam in Iowa and now appears poised to overtake frontrunner Newt Gingrich, according to a new survey released today from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling. The poll finds support for Gingrich has slipped to 22%, with Ron Paul just behind with 21%. Mitt Romney trails in third place with 16%.
That's a five-point drop in favorability for Gingrich, who has raced to the top of the Republican presidential field over the past month. PPP found Gingrich's favorability numbers have fallen 19 points over the past week.

Read more: POLL BOMBSHELL: Ron Paul Is Close To A Win In Iowa

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[John Galt]

 

[Kirk Freeman]

You know the caucus is not until January 3rd, right?

 

[KG1]

You know the caucus is not until January 3rd, right?

Yeah but if RP keeps trending the way he has been he'll win it before then. The minute he takes the lead a victory will be declared and there will be no reason to vote and it's on to the next primary

 

[Bond 281]

You know the caucus is not until January 3rd, right?

You know that Ron Paul has an extremely solid record of not losing supporters once he gets them, right? He's been consistently rising as far as I've seen, and basically never dropping like all the others.

 

[Mackey]

I wish someone other than Newt would take the lead.
I just can't believe Newt is electable in this century.

 

[88GT]

I wish someone other than Newt would take the lead.
I just can't believe Newt is electable in this century.

You must have missed the article/thread I posted. It's pretty clear.

 

[KG1]

You know that Ron Paul has an extremely solid record of not losing supporters once he gets them, right? He's been consistently rising as far as I've seen, and basically never dropping like all the others.

Supporters are one thing but actual voters are a different story. I believe his gains have alot to do with younger supporters but they've been known to be a little flakey when it comes to actual turnout on election days. We shall see if that holds true or not.

 

[Lead Head]

I like Ron Paul but polls in Iowa don't win elections. Just remember that Herman Cain was on a high then petered out and now we have the Newt sucking oxygen from the room. There is a high probability his star may not keep rising unless the "newtniks" are as dumb as I think they are.

Regardless, Ron Paul deserve positive attention and not shunned by the liberal media. Some of his messages are getting through.

 

[Bond 281]

Young Ron Paul voters are incredibly enthusiastic though. I just read an article about how if anything, a candidate with a strong following of young voters is likely to do substantially better in the caucuses than in the polls. Point in case referenced in the article was how Obama was polling about with everyone else, but young voters who didn't show up in polls gave him a victory.

"Although the final Des Moines Register poll in 2008 -- conducted by Ann Selzer, who also fields the Bloomberg News polls this year -- accurately forecast Barack Obama's victory in the Democratic caucuses, five other Iowa polls fielded at the same time had him nominally behind. Selzer famously got it right because her poll caught the influx of young, independent first-time caucus-goers, who voted overwhelmingly for Obama."

Is Ron Paul's Iowa Vote Being Missed By The Polls? - The Huffington Post

@Lead Head

Se my last post. Ron Paul's support is the most consistent of any candidate. I think it very unlikely that he would surge and then drop.

 

[ATM]

 

[88GT]

I like Ron Paul but polls in Iowa don't win elections. Just remember that Herman Cain was on a high then petered out and now we have the Newt sucking oxygen from the room. There is a high probability his star may not keep rising unless the "newtniks" are as dumb as I think they are.

Regardless, Ron Paul deserve positive attention and not shunned by the liberal media. Some of his messages are getting through.

Huckabee won Iowa in 2008. Lack of money was his real cause for flaming out, but it proves the point that Iowa isn't a guarantee of anything. And Paul has a harder battle than most. A win there doesn't translate into much of anything for him relative to the nomination.

On a side note, is "newtniks" anything like the name we now can't say for Paul supporters?

 

[KG1]

Young Ron Paul voters are incredibly enthusiastic though. I just read an article about how if anything, a candidate with a strong following of young voters is likely to do substantially better in the caucuses than in the polls. Point in case referenced in the article was how Obama was polling about with everyone else, but young voters who didn't show up in polls gave him a victory.

"Although the final Des Moines Register poll in 2008 -- conducted by Ann Selzer, who also fields the Bloomberg News polls this year -- accurately forecast Barack Obama's victory in the Democratic caucuses, five other Iowa polls fielded at the same time had him nominally behind. Selzer famously got it right because her poll caught the influx of young, independent first-time caucus-goers, who voted overwhelmingly for Obama."

Is Ron Paul's Iowa Vote Being Missed By The Polls? - The Huffington Post

@Lead Head

Se my last post. Ron Paul's support is the most consistent of any candidate. I think it very unlikely that he would surge and then drop.

We we shall see. I do agree with your point though about RP being able to hang on to supporters once he gets them on the team.

 

[88GT]

We we shall see. I do agree with your point though about RP being able to hang on to supporters once he gets them on the team.

It's the kool-aid. They keep coming back for more.

 

[John Galt]

I believe that as more people are forced to deal with the consequences, fraud and deception of EstablishmentWashington, the more they are going to be receptive to Paul's message, which has been consistent for many years. Still a ways to go yet, but I think people are starting to wake up (hopefully) and are realizing that we are being plundered and lied to.

 

[rambone]

Newt's popularity is already past its peak, and his record is being exposed. His rise and fall will be similar to those enjoyed by Bachmann, Perry, & Cain.

 

[benkrebs]

Huckabee won Iowa in 2008. Lack of money was his real cause for flaming out, but it proves the point that Iowa isn't a guarantee of anything. And Paul has a harder battle than most. A win there doesn't translate into much of anything for him relative to the nomination.

On a side note, is "newtniks" anything like the name we now can't say for Paul supporters?

Ooooo I wanna know the Paul supporters name!

 

[88GT]

Ooooo I wanna know the Paul supporters name!

Is this some kind of trap to get me banned?

 

[Paco Bedejo]

Young Ron Paul voters are incredibly enthusiastic though. I just read an article about how if anything, a candidate with a strong following of young voters is likely to do substantially better in the caucuses than in the polls. Point in case referenced in the article was how Obama was polling about with everyone else, but young voters who didn't show up in polls gave him a victory.

"Although the final Des Moines Register poll in 2008 -- conducted by Ann Selzer, who also fields the Bloomberg News polls this year -- accurately forecast Barack Obama's victory in the Democratic caucuses, five other Iowa polls fielded at the same time had him nominally behind. Selzer famously got it right because her poll caught the influx of young, independent first-time caucus-goers, who voted overwhelmingly for Obama."

Is Ron Paul's Iowa Vote Being Missed By The Polls? - The Huffington Post

@Lead Head

Se my last post. Ron Paul's support is the most consistent of any candidate. I think it very unlikely that he would surge and then drop.

I have to agree with this likelihood. I'm 34 & more than half the people I know do not have landline phones. I'd wager that most polls manage to almost entirely miss the demographic which knows the internet is for more than Face & Pornbook & gets its news online....AKA...Ron Paul's base (IMO).

 

[Boiled Owl]

Rest at the source.Poll was done by Public Policy Polling

POLL BOMBSHELL: Ron Paul Is Close To A Win In Iowa

Ron Paul, the once-forgotten presidential candidate, is picking up steam in Iowa and now appears poised to overtake frontrunner Newt Gingrich, according to a new survey released today from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling. The poll finds support for Gingrich has slipped to 22%, with Ron Paul just behind with 21%. Mitt Romney trails in third place with 16%.
That's a five-point drop in favorability for Gingrich, who has raced to the top of the Republican presidential field over the past month. PPP found Gingrich's favorability numbers have fallen 19 points over the past week.

Read more: POLL BOMBSHELL: Ron Paul Is Close To A Win In Iowa

​

Wait! I thought he was unelectable.