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Old 08-27-2008   #1 (permalink)
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Rut Roh, McCain ahead in polls

Oh no, even with the Democrat National Convention underway McCain is now ahead of Obama in the polls. Usually it's the other way around... usually the party having their convention gets a bump for their candidate.

Not a good sign for the Obamaites.

Gallup Daily: No Bounce for Obama in Post Biden Tracking

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Old 08-27-2008   #2 (permalink)
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While polls are a good indicator, we also have to look at the polls by state. Remember that we elect our Presidents, not by popular vote, but by a state by state tally of the Electoral College votes. By my count, using Rasmussen tracking data, the election is leaning to Obama based on Electoral College Votes. The problem is that Obama has several key states firmly locked up, those key states have a lot of electoral college votes.

We have a lot of work cut out for us if we want to help McCain win the election.
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Old 08-27-2008   #3 (permalink)
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Oh, I know. I also know that polls don't mean squat even if you do break it down by state. It's just fun to see Obama slowly fall from poll grace.
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Old 08-27-2008   #4 (permalink)
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I'd imagine that convention or not, that dbag loses votes every time he opens his mouth.
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Old 08-28-2008   #5 (permalink)
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Oh, I know. I also know that polls don't mean squat even if you do break it down by state.
I remember the night before the last presidential election the polls were showing Kerry winning and we all know it didn't exactly turn out that way. The next week or so it was nothing but "how could have the polls failed us?" all over the news, now we are going back to thinking the polls actually mean something.

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It's just fun to see Obama slowly fall from poll grace.
Anything that knocks that prick down a notch, I am all for.
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Old 08-28-2008   #6 (permalink)
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I remember the night before the last presidential election the polls were showing Kerry winning and we all know it didn't exactly turn out that way. The next week or so it was nothing but "how could have the polls failed us?" all over the news, now we are going back to thinking the polls actually mean something.
What's funny about that is the polls being cited that predicted a Kerry win were exit polls. Up until that point, people always claimed exit polls were by far the most accurate polls known to man.
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Old 08-28-2008   #7 (permalink)
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What's funny about that is the polls being cited that predicted a Kerry win were exit polls. Up until that point, people always claimed exit polls were by far the most accurate polls known to man.
I either ignore the exit pollers, or if I'm in a mood, I'll tell them I voted for the other guy just the skew their numbers.
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Old 08-28-2008   #8 (permalink)
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You can fool 44-48% of the people ALL of the time
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Old 08-28-2008   #9 (permalink)
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You can fool 44-48% of the people ALL of the time
I believe that statement is 100% correct, 75% of the time.
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Old 08-28-2008   #10 (permalink)
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I either ignore the exit pollers, or if I'm in a mood, I'll tell them I voted for the other guy just the skew their numbers.
Apparently you aren't the only one.
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