The Sovereign Debt Problem: A War In The Middle East

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  • CarmelHP

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    Carmel
    Oil is unlikely to decrease in price if there is a shooting war with Iran unless the other Gulf states agree to crank up their output to flood the market like happens after GW1. It didn't happen after GW2, which cost trillions. There was no wealth or benefit extracted. I don't see it happening after a GW3 either.
     
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    Oil is unlikely to decrease in price if there is a shooting war with Iran unless the other Gulf states agree to crank up their output to flood the market like happens after GW1. It didn't happen after GW2, which cost trillions. There was no wealth or benefit extracted. I don't see it happening after a GW3 either.


    Saudi Arabia has already said they will continune to crank out oil to keep prices around $100 a barrell .... Thats not too say what will happen when/if China AND India (not sure whom else purchases oil from Iran?) stop purchasing 50% of Irans oil, i believe right now China is buying 20% of its oil from Saudi trying to get iran to lower its price for them.
     

    ruger17hmr

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    Indy
    Oil is unlikely to decrease in price if there is a shooting war with Iran unless the other Gulf states agree to crank up their output to flood the market like happens after GW1. It didn't happen after GW2, which cost trillions. There was no wealth or benefit extracted. I don't see it happening after a GW3 either.

    GW3 is bound to happen. It is as if GWs are being used as a pawn in the Chess Match. It is such a sad situation, but it is what it is. The survival of the fittest plays out everyday in this cold world of power and corruption. The benefit is there however temporary it might seem.

    The best way to gauge that effect is the past performance of stock market after the each GWs. There is no doubt that the war brings the misery to the humanity, but we are living in the world of cut throat competition which equates the success with the high balance in a bank account. In this world, the rise of stock market is synonymous with the prosperity.
     

    CarmelHP

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    Carmel
    GW3 is bound to happen. It is as if GWs are being used as a pawn in the Chess Match. It is such a sad situation, but it is what it is. The survival of the fittest plays out everyday in this cold world of power and corruption. The benefit is there however temporary it might seem.

    The best way to gauge that effect is the past performance of stock market after the each GWs. There is no doubt that the war brings the misery to the humanity, but we are living in the world of cut throat competition which equates the success with the high balance in a bank account. In this world, the rise of stock market is synonymous with the prosperity.

    No, it's not. It's a spurious correlation. Maybe GW1, with it's low oil price afterglow spurred a stock surge, but after GW2 it was cheap money at work, and lots of it, most going into cranking real estate. That bubble has burst. GW2 stopped a bull market dead in it's tracks.
     

    ghuns

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    $1.79 Gas? I'm in, bombs away. But really, has the price of oil really doubled or has the value of our dollar just been cut in half?
     

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