Earth Blasted With X-Class Flare, Sparking "Largest Solar Radio Event Ever Recorded"

[smokingman]

Looking for more information and waiting on CME model release to see if the flare will hit us.

Earth Blasted With X-Class Flare, Sparking "Largest Solar Radio Event Ever Recorded" | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

A FUSILLADE OF SOLAR FLARES: Sunspot 3514 continued to flare today with a strong M7-class event following close on the heels of yesterday's X2.8-class boomer. The X-flare on Dec. 14th was the strongest flare of Solar Cycle 25 (so far) and the most powerful eruption the sun has produced since the great storms of Sept. 2017.
We are still awaiting the results of NOAA modelling to confirm the timing of impact and the possible strength of any resulting geomagnetic storm.

SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-g2-minor-moderate-geomagnetic-storm-watches-16-17-dec-2023 Preliminary model shows glancing blow, but it is not the final release and will be updates as more data is processed.

3-Day Forecast | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

www.swpc.noaa.gov

Could possibly get another X class flare in the next day from Sunspot AR3514.

 

[Cameramonkey]

Several interesting tools.

This gives you lots of raw info of current conditions if you know how to read it. (its for hams because this stuff directly affects our ability to communicate. solar flares bad)

https://www.hamqsl.com/solarn0nbh.php

And dont be embarrased if it doesnt make much sense to you. I consider myself pretty smart but dont fully understand all of the data.

This lovely lady with smarts can tell you. She gives reports when its going to get ugly. (typically)

https://www.youtube.com/@TamithaSkov

The SWPC is also a good, yet dry source of info.

 

[jwamplerusa]

Looking for more information and waiting on CME model release to see if the flare will hit us.

Earth Blasted With X-Class Flare, Sparking "Largest Solar Radio Event Ever Recorded" | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

A FUSILLADE OF SOLAR FLARES: Sunspot 3514 continued to flare today with a strong M7-class event following close on the heels of yesterday's X2.8-class boomer. The X-flare on Dec. 14th was the strongest flare of Solar Cycle 25 (so far) and the most powerful eruption the sun has produced since the great storms of Sept. 2017.
We are still awaiting the results of NOAA modelling to confirm the timing of impact and the possible strength of any resulting geomagnetic storm.

SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-g2-minor-moderate-geomagnetic-storm-watches-16-17-dec-2023 Preliminary model shows glancing blow, but it is not the final release and will be updates as more data is processed.

3-Day Forecast | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

www.swpc.noaa.gov

Could possibly get another X class flare in the next day from Sunspot AR3514.

Call me (if you can) when the warning is, "this will be worse than the Carrington event".

 

[Cameramonkey]

Oh, and this isnt really being talked about by hams, who are the first/worst to be impacted, so I doubt we should expect much. When there is a direct, impactful event, its all the talk in the ham community. (And Skov releases a video, which she so far has not)

And also the ones that will impact us directly also get the weather folks hyping lower latitude northern lights.

The fact that NOBODY but folks like ZH (Who get paid by clicks) are talking about this tells me this is going to wiz right past us.

 

[smokingman]

Model is out. Looks like the CME's will merge and give us a pretty good hit.

WSA-ENLIL Solar Wind Prediction | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

www.swpc.noaa.gov

MULTIPLE CMEs ARE COMING: Geomagnetic storms are likely on Dec. 16th and 17th when multiple CMEs hit Earth's magnetic field. A new NOAA model shows three CMEs combining to form a single storm front, striking in unison on Dec. 16th around 20:00 UT:

SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

According to the air force we have a a 25% chance for X flares today,the 17th,and 18th. With a 20% chance of severe geomagnetic storms(KP7 or higher). The level of storm will of course depend on flares.

Report and Forecast of Solar and Geophysical Activity | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

www.swpc.noaa.gov

 

[smokingman]

And also the ones that will impact us directly also get the weather folks hyping lower latitude northern lights.

The fact that NOBODY but folks like ZH (Who get paid by clicks) are talking about this tells me this is going to wiz right past us.

"NOAA Warning": Strong solar storm event will cause auroras and disruptions today

The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center has issued a geomagnetic storm warning on the heels of a massive solar flare event this morning.

www.earth.com

https://www.axios.com/2023/12/15/sun-strongest-solar-flare-years-radio-frequencies-blackouts

"NOAA Warning": Strong solar storm event will cause auroras and disruptions today

The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center has issued a geomagnetic storm warning on the heels of a massive solar flare event this morning.

www.earth.com

Sun unleashes monster X-class solar flare, most powerful since 2017 (video)

The flare may have been accompanied by a plasma eruption aimed at Earth.

www.space.com

Strongest solar flare in years could create awesome northern lights display: What to know

As of Friday afternoon, scientists said auroras could be seen as far south as New York in the East and Idaho in the West.

www.usatoday.com

Sun Unleashes Mighty X2.8 Fury: NASA Captures Stellar Spectacle

NASA observed a significant X2.8 solar flare on December 14, 2023, with potential impacts on Earth's technological systems, monitored by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. The Sun emitted a strong solar flare, peaking at 12:02 p.m. EST, on December 14, 2023. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory

scitechdaily.com

Sun burp to hit Earth after radio blackout from "strongest" flare in years

Sunday's event could lead to power-grid issues, radio blackouts and the northern lights stretching southwards.

www.newsweek.com

Biggest solar flare in years temporarily disrupts radio signals on Earth

A NASA telescope has captured the biggest solar flare in years, which temporarily knocked out radio communication on Earth.

phys.org

Strongest solar flare in years could create awesome northern lights display: What to know

As of Friday afternoon, scientists said auroras could be seen as far south as New York in the East and Idaho in the West.

www.usatoday.com

Powerful solar flare knocks out radio, could be headed for Earth: ‘One of the largest ever recorded’

Brace for impact: The sun just emitted the strongest solar flare in six years.

nypost.com

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/12/15/solar-flare-northern-lights/

Largest solar flare in 6 years leads to problems with radio communications with planes

NASA reports a massive solar flare has erupted on the Sun, releasing a large amount of radiation energy, and the entire event was captured on video by a spacecraft.

www.foxweather.com

The most powerful solar eruption in years fired a powerful 'X-class' solar flare that just hit Earth, and scientists are monitoring for more possible outbursts

The most powerful solar flare since 2017 just hit Earth, and knocked out radio communication on Earth for a while.

www.businessinsider.com

Massive solar flare erupts from sun, may bring northern lights to New England

The solar flare is likely the most powerful since 2017.

www.cbsnews.com

The main impact was in the southern hemisphere....but it was a total blackout. It is certainly on loads more than zerohedge,though they were a bit earlier than many.

I am not that worried about the CME impact unless we get another X flare into the mix,but it could cause a few issues.

Here are the ham guys I have used since 2011.

Space Weather by SolarHam

www.solarham.net

 

[Expat]

Just as I opened the thread, the local TV news carried the story.

 

[femurphy77]

 

[daddyusmaximus]

If it was the biggest ever... and if we got hit head on... we wouldn't be talking about it on the internet.

 

[smokingman]

If it was the biggest ever... and if we got hit head on... we wouldn't be talking about it on the internet.

Largest xray event is not the same as the largest CME event. It was the largest xray event(light speed impact),the CME though will be here in about 6 hours,and likely will hit maybe an 8 on the KP index(nowhere near the highest,and it was no where near the largest cme impact).

 

[KokomoDave]

I guess I won't be yapping on 2M chat later...

 

[actaeon277]

So, I need to buy bread, eggs, milk?

 

[spencer rifle]

Everyone needs more mild...

 

[actaeon277]

Everyone needs more mild...

oops

 

[Cameramonkey]

Yes. Mild. Milk is for snowstorms.

 

[jsharmon7]

I was expecting an earth shattering kaboom.

 

[Cameramonkey]

She apparently knows something is up. She talked for almost 2 hours.

This lovely lady with smarts can tell you. She gives reports when its going to get ugly. (typically)

https://www.youtube.com/@TamithaSkov

 

[DoggyDaddy]

Did anything happen anywhere? I didn't feel a thing.

 

[blain]

Call me (if you can) when the warning is, "this will be worse than the Carrington event".

Exactly my friend. When there are reports of telegraph wire bursting into flames, I'll give it more attention.

And for those of you that want to post about every little tremor you feel, hold off until you've got something that trumps the New Madrid earthquakes of 1811 & 1812.

 

[Pepi]

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