awesomesauce" isn't really what I hear. I just hear you making a prediction that sounds like you really believe it. And I'm not saying it can't happen. I think it's not in the bag. Time only knows who is right. There is an answer to that which we've not yet experienced. It's not played out. At this point, I doubt Trump can win. Trump should be capitalizing more on Hillary's baggage. And part of that is a friendly old media. But with new media showing stuff that we wouldn't have seen otherwise, people see enough of Hillary's baggage that they should be fed up with her. Yet Trump only gains a point or few.
Ditto.
It's only somewhat predictable. I do think Trump has a realistic path to win, but of course it's much narrower than Hillary's. If she can overcome Benghazi, the Email scandals, the Clinton Foundation scandals, the Wall Street/Banking cronies speech scandals, she probably has the capacity to overcome much more as long as Trump continues to increase her resilience by making himself even less likeable.
I think that's not a reasoned conclusion. I only know of two INGOers who support Clinton. There may be more, but they haven't actively participated in the political discussions.
I understand there's a populist wave rippling through Western Society now. I wouldn't assume that it will overcome the obstacles. Just like Brexit, it will depend upon turnout. The demographic group most opposed to Brexit, didn't show up for it in enough numbers to counter the populists. If young people would have shown up in proportionate numbers, Brexit would have failed.
For our election, we'll see. Like 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000... and many elections before, it depends who makes it to the polls. Romney supporters believed that he would win because of certain polls. They were very wrong because the supporters who backed Romney didn't carry through to the polls. He lost because he didn't have operatives canvassing neighborhoods in critical districts flat out making people get out and vote. Obama did. Obama won. That's how presidential elections are won now. Is Trump doing that?
Ditto.
It's only somewhat predictable. I do think Trump has a realistic path to win, but of course it's much narrower than Hillary's. If she can overcome Benghazi, the Email scandals, the Clinton Foundation scandals, the Wall Street/Banking cronies speech scandals, she probably has the capacity to overcome much more as long as Trump continues to increase her resilience by making himself even less likeable.
I think that's not a reasoned conclusion. I only know of two INGOers who support Clinton. There may be more, but they haven't actively participated in the political discussions.
I understand there's a populist wave rippling through Western Society now. I wouldn't assume that it will overcome the obstacles. Just like Brexit, it will depend upon turnout. The demographic group most opposed to Brexit, didn't show up for it in enough numbers to counter the populists. If young people would have shown up in proportionate numbers, Brexit would have failed.
For our election, we'll see. Like 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000... and many elections before, it depends who makes it to the polls. Romney supporters believed that he would win because of certain polls. They were very wrong because the supporters who backed Romney didn't carry through to the polls. He lost because he didn't have operatives canvassing neighborhoods in critical districts flat out making people get out and vote. Obama did. Obama won. That's how presidential elections are won now. Is Trump doing that?
